TFR vs Pension Fund Calculator
Retirement & FIRETFR with the employer against a pension fund: net value at payout and the break-even fund return.
€12,393.34
Moving the TFR to the fund ends ahead.
€76,532.99
€88,926.33
2.9%
The employer option wins only below this return, gross.
Net value by year
- TFR with employer
- Pension fund
Line chart comparing the employer TFR's net value with the pension fund's net value, for every year of the horizon.
The retirement payout rate is applied at every year shown. Riscatto rules for an early exit would differ.
Year-by-year schedule
| Year | TFR flow | Employer stock | Employer net | Fund balance | Fund net | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | €2,072.22 | €2,072.22 | €1,595.61 | €2,072.22 | €1,761.39 | €165.78 |
| 2 | €2,072.22 | €4,196.04 | €3,242.82 | €4,202.47 | €3,580.80 | €337.98 |
| 3 | €2,072.22 | €6,372.75 | €4,942.91 | €6,392.36 | €5,459.86 | €516.94 |
| 4 | €2,072.22 | €8,603.65 | €6,697.21 | €8,643.57 | €7,400.23 | €703.03 |
| 5 | €2,072.22 | €10,890.10 | €8,507.05 | €10,957.81 | €9,403.64 | €896.59 |
| 6 | €2,072.22 | €13,233.49 | €10,373.82 | €13,336.85 | €11,471.85 | €1,098.03 |
| 7 | €2,072.22 | €15,635.23 | €12,298.95 | €15,782.50 | €13,606.67 | €1,307.72 |
| 8 | €2,072.22 | €18,096.76 | €14,283.88 | €18,296.64 | €15,809.97 | €1,526.09 |
| 9 | €2,072.22 | €20,619.60 | €16,330.10 | €20,881.16 | €18,083.66 | €1,753.57 |
| 10 | €2,072.22 | €23,205.25 | €18,439.14 | €23,538.06 | €20,429.72 | €1,990.59 |
| 11 | €2,072.22 | €25,855.28 | €20,612.56 | €26,269.35 | €22,850.18 | €2,237.62 |
| 12 | €2,072.22 | €28,571.30 | €22,851.96 | €29,077.11 | €25,347.11 | €2,495.15 |
| 13 | €2,072.22 | €31,354.95 | €25,159.00 | €31,963.49 | €27,922.66 | €2,763.66 |
| 14 | €2,072.22 | €34,207.91 | €27,535.35 | €34,930.69 | €30,579.02 | €3,043.67 |
| 15 | €2,072.22 | €37,131.90 | €29,982.74 | €37,980.97 | €33,318.47 | €3,335.73 |
| 16 | €2,072.22 | €40,128.71 | €32,502.93 | €41,116.66 | €36,242.80 | €3,739.86 |
| 17 | €2,072.22 | €43,200.14 | €35,097.75 | €44,340.15 | €39,267.35 | €4,169.60 |
| 18 | €2,072.22 | €46,348.04 | €37,769.04 | €47,653.90 | €42,394.60 | €4,625.55 |
| 19 | €2,072.22 | €49,574.33 | €40,518.72 | €51,060.43 | €45,627.06 | €5,108.34 |
| 20 | €2,072.22 | €52,880.96 | €43,348.73 | €54,562.34 | €48,967.34 | €5,618.61 |
| 21 | €2,072.22 | €56,269.91 | €46,261.08 | €58,162.31 | €52,418.11 | €6,157.03 |
| 22 | €2,072.22 | €59,743.26 | €49,257.81 | €61,863.08 | €55,982.11 | €6,724.30 |
| 23 | €2,072.22 | €63,303.09 | €52,341.03 | €65,667.47 | €59,662.17 | €7,321.14 |
| 24 | €2,072.22 | €66,951.56 | €55,512.89 | €69,578.38 | €63,461.18 | €7,948.29 |
| 25 | €2,072.22 | €70,690.87 | €58,775.59 | €73,598.79 | €67,382.13 | €8,606.53 |
| 26 | €2,072.22 | €74,523.30 | €62,131.41 | €77,731.78 | €71,428.08 | €9,296.68 |
| 27 | €2,072.22 | €78,451.15 | €65,582.65 | €81,980.49 | €75,602.19 | €10,019.55 |
| 28 | €2,072.22 | €82,476.80 | €69,131.69 | €86,348.17 | €79,907.70 | €10,776.01 |
| 29 | €2,072.22 | €86,602.70 | €72,780.98 | €90,838.14 | €84,347.94 | €11,566.97 |
| 30 | €2,072.22 | €90,831.33 | €76,532.99 | €95,453.83 | €88,926.33 | €12,393.34 |
Annual granularity only: real TFR accrues monthly and its substitute tax settles in two yearly installments. Returns are constant, with no volatility or sequence risk. The payout uses a lump-sum capitale framing; after 1 July 2026 only 60% can usually be taken as capital, and the new erogazione frazionata option is taxed on a different schedule. Riscatto, anticipazioni, and the tassazione separata approximation described above are documented simplifications.
TFR left with the employer is paid out at every job change and can be advanced under art. 2120 rules. Money moved into a pension fund is locked until retirement, with narrow exceptions. The difference above is partly the price of that illiquidity.
How this calculator works
Every Italian private-sector employee chooses where their TFR (trattamento di fine rapporto) accrues: left with the employer, where it revalues each year under a statutory formula and is taxed at liquidation through tassazione separata, or moved into a supplementary pension fund, where it compounds at a market return net of the fund's cost and an annual tax, then pays out under a more favorable schedule. From 1 July 2026 the choice carries a deadline for new hires: the Legge di Bilancio 2026 introduced a silenzio-assenso rule that automatically directs a new hire's TFR to the pension fund named by their CCNL unless they opt out within 60 days. This calculator projects both paths side by side to whatever horizon you choose, whether that is your expected retirement date or the next time you expect to change jobs.
Enter your gross salary, the years until payout, your inflation assumption, and the fund return you expect. The employer branch revalues the accumulated stock each year at 1.5% plus 75% of your inflation assumption, taxes that revaluation annually at 17%, and taxes the accumulated principal at liquidation using your average IRPEF rate, computed automatically from the 2026 brackets or set manually in the advanced section. The fund branch compounds the identical TFR flow at your expected return, net of the fund's cost (its ISC) and the annual substitute tax on results, then taxes the contributed principal at payout on the same 15 percent to 9 percent schedule used by the fondo pensione calculator. Both branches receive the exact same TFR flow every year, so the comparison isolates revaluation, market returns, costs, and tax treatment rather than any difference in how much money goes in.
The headline is the net difference at your horizon, alongside the fund return below which staying with the employer actually wins. In most long-horizon scenarios the fund wins even at a conservative return, because the tax on its contributed principal falls with participation years while the employer's tassazione separata approximation typically sits well above it. The model uses annual granularity, a constant expected return with no sequence risk, and a lump-sum payout framing that will only cover up to 60 percent of a fund position after the reform. Read the FAQ before treating the projection as anything more than a planning estimate, and remember that fund money is locked until retirement while TFR with the employer is paid out at every job change.
Frequently asked questions
What changes with the 2026 silenzio-assenso rule?
From 1 July 2026, the Legge di Bilancio 2026 directs a new hire's TFR, and any contractual contributions tied to it, automatically into the pension fund named by their CCNL, unless the worker opts out within 60 days of being hired. Domestic workers are excluded from the rule. It only changes where the money defaults to; the fund still compounds and pays out under the same rules this calculator models, so running your own numbers before the window closes is exactly what the deadline is for.
Why does the pension fund often win even at a low return?
The gap comes from how the two principals are taxed, not from returns alone. The fund's payout rate falls from 15% to a 9% floor as your participation years grow, while the employer's tassazione separata approximation, your average IRPEF rate, usually sits well above that band, often between 23% and 43%. In the zero-return case worked out for this calculator, a flat salary, no inflation, and no fund growth at all, the fund still ends ahead of the employer purely on that asymmetry.
How is the TFR revaluation formula modeled, and why not use live ISTAT data?
Article 2120 of the civil code revalues the employer-held stock each year at a fixed 1.5% plus 75% of the ISTAT FOI inflation index, taxed annually at 17% under the substitute-tax regime. This calculator uses your own inflation assumption in place of a live FOI feed, which keeps the projection under your control and free of monthly data maintenance, at the cost of not tracking the actual index month by month. A negative inflation assumption never pushes the rate below its fixed 1.5% component, matching how the coefficient behaved in the negative-FOI year of 2020.
How are fund payouts taxed after the 2026 reform?
The withholding on the contributed principal starts at 15% for a payout taken within 15 years of participation and falls by 0.30 percentage points for every year beyond that, down to a 9% floor at 35 years; this calculator applies that schedule as if the full position were taken as capital. From 1 July 2026 the law caps the capital share at 60% for most positions, with the rest paid as an annuity or under a new erogazione frazionata option taxed on a separate schedule starting at 20% and falling to a 15% floor. Those newer mechanics affect timing, not the rate on the capital share modeled here, and are covered only as background, not as a separate branch of this calculator.
Why does the employer contribution only appear if I contribute myself?
Most Italian collective agreements (CCNL) define the employer's matching contribution as a percent of gross salary, conditioned on the employee also contributing their own money; moving your TFR alone, with no personal contribution, usually does not unlock any match at all. The advanced section lets you enter that employer contribution rate for the scenario where your CCNL or a personal arrangement grants one on top of the TFR flow, but it defaults to zero because that is the common case.
What happens to TFR at a company with 50 or more employees?
Since 2007, employers with at least 50 employees do not hold TFR left with them directly: they transfer it monthly to INPS's Fondo di Tesoreria, which revalues it under the identical formula this calculator uses for the employer branch. The worker's outcome from leaving TFR with the employer is unaffected either way, so this calculator does not need a separate input for company size.
How liquid is each option?
TFR left with the employer is paid out in full at every job change, and part of it can be advanced under art. 2120 rules for documented needs like buying a first home or medical expenses. Money moved into a pension fund is locked until retirement, with only narrow exceptions, such as a riscatto for specific hardships or a partial anticipazione after eight years of participation for a home purchase or medical costs. The net difference this calculator shows is, in part, the price of that lost flexibility, not a free lunch.
What does this calculator not include, and where can I check a real fund's costs?
It assumes a standard single-employer position, uses one effective tax rate for the fund's annual result rather than splitting out the government-bond carve-out, and applies the capitale payout schedule to the whole position rather than modeling the 60/40 capital-and-annuity split or the frazionata schedule in detail. Riscatto, anticipazioni, and any payout taken under pre-reform rules in the first half of 2026 are out of scope. The cost presets (negoziale, aperto, PIP) are COVIP averages, not any specific fund's number: check your own fund's indicatore sintetico di costo on COVIP's ISC comparatore before relying on the projection. For how much to contribute to a fondo pensione and what it saves on tax, see the fondo pensione calculator.
These calculators are for educational purposes only and are not financial advice. Always consult a qualified financial advisor, mortgage professional, or your bank before making a commitment.
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